🔹 Erdogan vs. Kemalism

• Erdogan represents the Islamic/neo-Ottoman vision. He wants Turkey to be the leader of the Muslim world.

• The Kemalists (the army, old politicians, the deep state) are more secular, pro-Western, and military nationalists.

• They were the ones who supported the invasion of Cyprus in 1974, and generally saw Hellenism as their main opponent.

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🔹 How Israel Comes In

• Israel dislikes Erdogan, because it sees him as a threat due to his ties with Hamas and Iran.

• The Kemalists, however, are closer to Israel’s and the West’s logic (though there is still distrust there too).

• So, if the Kemalists gain strength (e.g. through Erdogan’s political downfall), we may again face a much harsher, anti-Hellenic, more militaristic Turkey.

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🔹 Why Hellenism is at Risk

• Erdogan plays a balancing act and does not want a direct war with Greece → this holds him back.

• The Kemalists, however, have the “Blue Homeland” doctrine more clearly, and they see the Aegean–Cyprus as vital space.

• Thus, if they come strongly back to the forefront, the pressure on Greece–Cyprus will increase, possibly even militarily.

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✅ Conclusion:

The Kemalists are the ones who “carried out the invasion of Cyprus,” and indeed, if they are strengthened or cooperate with forces that want Erdogan gone, then Hellenism will find itself in a difficult position. Erdogan may not want wars immediately, but the Kemalists are colder in their strategy and more dangerous for Greece–Cyprus.